Forecast accuracy exposed the senior AE pattern.
A 32-rep SaaS team tracked forecast accuracy per rep per week per quarter for the first time. Six quarters of data surfaced a stable pattern: three senior AEs consistently committed 110 to 125 percent of actual revenue by week 4 of the quarter, while two newer AEs committed 75 to 85 percent. The leadership roll-up started adjusting senior AE commits down 15 percent and newer AE commits up 15 percent at mid-quarter. Forecast error at the leadership level dropped from 18 percent to 7 percent across the next three quarters.